![]() ![]() Just before its 2022 invasion, Russia formally recognized the independence of the two breakaway republics. While Ukrainian forces were occupied with the insurgency, Russian forces quickly occupied and annexed Crimea. In 2014, Russian support enabled the Ukrainian insurgents to hold off Ukrainian forces and declare the independence of the Donetsk and Luhansk Republics. The second ongoing trend is Russia's ever-expanding territorial claims. The trajectory of the past eight years offers little to support any expectation that a new, negotiated settlement will bring an end to the conflict. First, there have been repeated attempts at ceasefires, all of which failed, as well as multiple international agreements, all of which Russia has ignored. Three ongoing trends have characterized the continuing conflict. Russia responded by backing an armed uprising of pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine, thus initiating the Donbass War, which, last year, morphed into Russia's full-scale invasion. The conflict began in 2014, shortly after public protests in Kyiv resulted in Ukraine's pro-Russian president fleeing to Moscow. ![]() It was not the anniversary of the war in Ukraine, which in March will enter its ninth year. Part one discusses how the war could end part two deals with the potential for escalation of the war part three discusses how the war in Ukraine may affect Russia part four is about the consequences of the war on NATO, part five looks at Turkey and the Balkan states part six the global economic consequences and the series concludes with part seven.įebruary 24 was the first anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. This series takes in the sweep of the war in Ukraine and its downstream effects both regionally and globally.
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